Unemployment continues to dominate South Africa’s socio-economic landscape in 2025, with the latest figures from Stats SA revealing a staggering 4.8 million jobless youth — 58.7% of whom have never held a job.
The country’s labour market is under immense strain as it navigates sluggish post-pandemic recovery, fragile business confidence, and widening economic inequality. Youth, in particular, bear the brunt of this ongoing crisis.
South Africa’s Labour Market is Under Pressure
In the first quarter of 2025, South Africa’s official unemployment rate rose to 32.9%, up from 31.9% at the end of 2024. This exceeded economic forecasts and underscored deep structural issues. The seasonal drop-off in holiday employment was worsened by the entry of school leavers and recent graduates into an already saturated job market.
According to the Quarterly Labour Force Survey (QLFS), the number of employed individuals declined by 291,000 — from 17.1 million to 16.8 million — while the unemployed rose by 237,000, bringing the total to 8.2 million. An additional 54,000 people stopped actively seeking work, shrinking the economically active population.
Expanded Unemployment and Inactivity on the Rise
The expanded unemployment rate, which includes discouraged jobseekers and other inactive individuals who still want to work, jumped 1.2 percentage points to 43.1%. Around 1.9 million young people have now given up searching entirely — a sign of growing disillusionment.
The number of discouraged jobseekers rose by 7,000, while those not economically active for reasons other than discouragement increased by 177,000. Combined, this pushed the number of people outside the labour force to 16.7 million.
Sectoral Job Losses and Modest Gains
Several key sectors shed jobs:
- Trade (-194,000)
- Construction (-119,000)
- Private households (-68,000)
- Community and social services (-45,000)
- Mining (-35,000)
Some sectors did see modest gains. Transport added 67,000 jobs, finance added 60,000, and public utilities grew by 35,000 positions. Still, these were not enough to counterbalance the broader losses.
Formal employment shrank by 245,000 jobs, while the informal sector saw only a marginal rise of 17,000 — often in precarious, low-protection roles.
Provincial Job Disparities Widen
Regional differences continue to shape employment outcomes.
- Western Cape created 49,000 jobs
- Gauteng added 9,000
- Free State added 4,000
Meanwhile, job losses were steep in:
- KwaZulu-Natal (-104,000)
- Eastern Cape (-83,000)
- North West (-57,000)
- Limpopo (-55,000)
- Mpumalanga (-43,000)
- Northern Cape (-12,000)
Education Makes a Difference — But Not Enough
Education remains a critical buffer against unemployment.
- No matric: 39.0% unemployed
- Matric only: 47.6%
- Vocational training: 37.3%
- University degree: 23.9%
However, even graduates are feeling the pinch — their unemployment rate rose by 3.0 percentage points compared to the previous quarter.
Key Labour Force Indicators Decline
- Labour force participation: 60.0%
- Employment absorption rate: 40.3%
These declining indicators reflect the economy’s weakening ability to integrate workers or retain them, leading to increased social pressure and a growing demand for state support.
Youth Employment in Crisis
Young people, who make up 50.2% of the working-age population (15 to 34 years), face the most severe employment challenges.
From 2015 to 2025:
- Youth unemployment rose from 36.9% to 46.1%
- Among 15–24-year-olds: from 50.3% to 62.4%
- Among 25–34-year-olds: from 31.4% to 40.4%
Geographically, the youth unemployment rate is highest in:
- North West: 58.8% (43% participation)
- Eastern Cape: 54.3% (under 40% participation)
Women and NEETs: A Dual Challenge
Gender disparities persist:
- Among youth (15–24), 37.1% are NEETs (Not in Employment, Education or Training)
- Women NEET rate: 37.5%
- Men NEET rate: 36.7%
- Among those aged 15–34, the NEET rate is 45.1% — 48.1% for women and 42.2% for men
This demographic is at the greatest risk of long-term exclusion from the labour market.
The Education-Employment Link
Among youth without a matric, the unemployment rate stands at 51.6%. Those with only matric face a 47.6% rate. Vocational training improves prospects (37.3%), while university degrees reduce the rate to 23.9%.
Still, the lack of experience remains a barrier. Over half of unemployed youth — 58.7% — have never had a job, further compounding the problem.
Where Youth Work (When They Do)
When employed, youth are overrepresented in low-skilled roles:
- Trade (retail/hospitality): 24.5%
- Community services: 19.8%
- Finance: 18.4%
- Manufacturing: 10.5%
Occupational breakdown:
- Elementary work: 25.3%
- Sales and service: 20%
- Clerical: 13.5%
- Manual trades: 11.2%
These patterns highlight the fragile nature of youth employment in South Africa.
The Road Ahead: What Needs to Change
South Africa’s unemployment crisis — especially among youth — is not cyclical but structural. Experts are calling for:
- Accelerated investment in infrastructure and SMEs
- Technical and vocational training aligned with market needs
- Improved access to affordable credit for entrepreneurs
- Public-private partnerships to facilitate upskilling and job placement
- Targeted support in high-unemployment regions
- Interventions to support young women and reduce NEET rates
Without swift and systemic reform, millions of young South Africans risk being permanently excluded from the economy. Bridging the education-to-employment gap, addressing regional disparities, and supporting entrepreneurship are no longer optional — they are urgent imperatives.
Watch this space for updates in the General News category on Running Wolf’s Rant.
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